Following the mutiny of June 2023, most of Wagner soldier were given a choice between signing up with the MoD or going into exil into Belarus. There are now rumors that Wagner fighter are being evacuated from Belarus following the death of its leader, Prigozhin.
This question will resolve YES if, at any point prior to 2024, Wagner cease to exist or to be officially an independent PMC. (So it becoming a regular army unit would resolve as YES). It resolves as NO otherwise.
I won't be betting on the market to remain as objective as possible.
Related questions
new Washington post article:
In Wagner Group’s biggest African base, Russia to control mercenaries - The Washington Post (archive.ph)
Why do the Wagner fighters who have been pardoned need other jobs if Wagner isn’t being dissolved??
@BTE I've heard that they go all out during the holidays. They love giving gifts/presents to others. It makes sense if they are looking to take on a 2nd job or take on extra shifts. it makes sense. a lil exra spending money
@BTE I wonder how many had Prigozhin as a reference on their resume. They may have to consider not putting down Wagner in work history
@higherLEVELING They're low level criminals freshly recruited last winter none of them have Prigozhin as a reference, they just need to explain their murder charges.
@WieDan they are model workers. works well in different environments, collaborative - works well with others, multitasker, reliable, ambitious, passionate. HIRED!
cant be low level criminal and have murder charges though
They are very unlikely to be simply dissolved because they are too important in Africa.
@Kurgan There is a rumor that Andrey Averyanov is forming an organization to take over Wagner's role in Africa, reported by Bellingcat (https://twitter.com/AricToler/status/1694421285579731451), so I'd think some of the personnel would just get folded into that.
