Two weeks after the attacks of 07/10, Israel still has to launch a ground invasion of Gaza. While numerous report that the ground operation is coming "soon", other reports claim the government is divided on the issue, with Nethanyahy reluctant to give the order. https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/yokra13644041
Meanwhile the cost of keeping 700 000 reservists under colors is a large strain on Israel's economy.
This resolve YES if a ground invasion is launched before the end of 2023.
This resolve NO if no ground invasion is launched.
For the purpose of this question, small SF raids do not count, an invasion would a) involve 1000+ troops on the ground and b) occupy at least part of the Gaza strip for at least a full day.
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https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1718566811015287236
The Israeli Army pierced more than 3 km into the northern Gaza Strip, conquered all of As-Siafa and now controls around 6 square kilometers of the territory.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/10/28/world/israel-gaza-news-hamas-war
Israeli forces appeared to be holding ground in the northern part of the Palestinian enclave on Saturday evening
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel said in televised remarks that Israeli forces had entered Gaza on Friday evening, beginning “the second stage of the war.” He called the ongoing campaign "our second war of independence" and warned Israelis to expect a "long and difficult" war.
The Israeli military is continuing to conduct “ground activity in the Gaza Strip,” the army chief of staff, Herzi Halevi, said in a video released by the military. “The ground forces are currently carrying out an important and complex action. The objectives of this war require a ground operation,” he said. “There will be no achievements without risks, and as we know, there will be no victory without a price.”
The Israeli military appears to have begun an invasion of Gaza, one that is shrouded in secrecy and ambiguity, with troops advancing into the northern part of the enclave on Friday evening accompanied by a massive aerial and artillery bombardment and remaining there on Saturday evening.
The military has not publicly described the operation as an invasion, and the maneuver appears, so far, more limited than some experts had predicted. The military has released only brief footage of its advance, and few Palestinian accounts and no independent footage of the operation have emerged. Gazan internet connections and phone lines — all controlled by Israel, according to the U.S. government — went down
https://t.me/manniefabian/40577
Multiple reports of SF raid on Hamas targets so far, but still nothing like a ground invasion.
IDF is saying they're ready to go and urging the government to decide as they can't stay at readiness forever.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/idf-says-it-is-ready-for-gaza-ground-invasion-cant-sit-on-its-thumbs-forever/
