Will Toby Ord (existential risk philosopher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
17
1kṀ2136
2029
1.9%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Toby Ord (existential risk philosopher) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.

Question is global -- charges in any country count.

Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.

Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.

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