Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be White?
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The United States elected it's first non white president in 2008 with Barack Obama. Will the United States do it again in 2024
Mar 17, 12:28am: Just so we are clear this also includes White Hispanic/Latinos
Mar 17, 3:47pm: Whatever race the victor self-identifies as is what is used for the purpose of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ShakedKoplewitz actually even if she does, we're currently at 6% on her to be the nominee and 10% for Harris. If we assume each of them has 50% to win a GE, that's about 8% overall. I guess you could make up the gap with a dark horse candidate?
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