The Canadian government will pass the Online Harms Act Bill C-63 before 2026?
3
100Ṁ111
Dec 31
18%
chance
5

The Online Harms Act (Bill C-63) aims to regulate harmful online content in Canada. Introduced in February 2024, the bill has faced legislative challenges and was not passed before the dissolution of Parliament in January 2025. This market resolves to 'Yes' if the bill is enacted into law before January 1st, 2026, and 'No' otherwise. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Parliament of Canada. Source

  • Update 2025-08-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a bill is enacted into law under the name "Online Harms Act" before Jan 1, 2026, this market resolves YES, regardless of bill number or amendments.

    • This is not limited to the original Bill C‑63 as written.

  • Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market is not limited to the exact name "Online Harms Act"

    • If Bill C-63 (in any form) passes into law before 2026, the market resolves YES

    • This includes cases where the bill is renamed, split, merged, or rebranded (e.g., "Online Safety Act," "Combatting Hate Act," etc.)

    • As long as Bill C-63 itself is the legislation that successfully passes, it counts

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This says the bill was not passed, but might be re-introduced. If there are changes made to it before re-introduction or rewrites, would I be correct in assuming that would not trigger a YES resolution. Has to be the specified bill AS WRITTEN, right? Or would even a reintroduced but unchanged bill qualify as a new bill and still be a NO resolution?

https://www.cbc.ca/news/online-safety-act-privacy-1.7598113

@JussiVilleHeiskanen for the sake of simplicity. If the bill passes under that name is will resolve yes.

bought Ṁ7 NO

@ScottO thinking the timing is too tight anyway

@ScottO Hi. Can you confirm that the resolution of this market is based solely on whether a bill passes under the name "Online Harms Act"? So, the "Online Safety Act" and/or the "Combatting Hate Act" would not count? Thanks.

@SacredChicken Yes — the resolution is not tied to the exact name “Online Harms Act.”

If Bill C-63, in any form, passes into law before 2026, the market will resolve YES.

This includes cases where the bill is renamed, split, merged, or rebranded (e.g., “Online Safety Act,” “Combatting Hate Act,” etc.). As long as Bill C-63 itself is the legislation that successfully passes, it counts.

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