Will my blitz rating be above 1900 on July 1?
10
4
Ṁ105
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
NO
This question resolves to YES if at the end of the day on July 1, my blitz lichess rating is 1900 or higher. You can see my rating history here: https://lichess.org/@/slawrence I will be betting YES in this market for obvious incentive reasons.
Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted YES
One last follow-up. Rating is now 1903, 16 minutes too late :( I guess the lesson here is less about betting wisely, and more about not procrastinating.
predicted YES
Out of time. Final rating 1889.
bought Ṁ20 of YES
Update 4: I'm back! 80 minutes left, and current rating is 1886.
bought Ṁ20 of YES
Update 3: Back up to 1853. Hope springs eternal... (but it's time to take a break)
predicted YES
Update 2: tilting at 4am was unwise. Rating now 1785. (I won't be selling as a matter of principle.)
bought Ṁ68 of YES
Update: I've crawled up to 1866, and I have a good bit of time over the next few days, so I'm optimistic. Far from a sure thing, though.
bought Ṁ10 of NO
Chess is hard, my friend.

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