Will Mana withdrawals be disabled (for at least one day) this year?
15
36
310
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Requires withdrawals (including donations to charity) to be entirely (or nearly so) unavailable for 24 contiguous hours. Does not depend on what is announced or not is announced; does not require it to be anybody's decision in particular.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ143
2Ṁ96
3Ṁ61
4Ṁ46
5Ṁ9
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 of NO

I think the bulk of the probability mass here is a manifold outage of some sort.

Created a different market that I think captures the question that I'm more interested in:

bought Ṁ10 of YES

How will this resolve if MM is down for a day?

@lu then it resolves YES.

What do you mean by “withdrawal”?

@NcyRocks Resolves YES if the ability to convert Mana into anything with real-world value is removed. So if charity donations are disabled without being replaced by something similar (like the ability to just take out money), this resolves YES.

@NathanpmYoung Because hey, maybe they'll be cancelled after all! :)