Will any Senator voluntarily leave office this year?
29
99
Ṁ2.7KṀ550
Jan 1
11%
chance
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Amount
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Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ85 +757.2%
New probability
12% +1.0%
Clarification for 2023-09-26: Resignation under pressure counts as voluntary. Death (even by suicide) does not. Impeachment does not, even if the senator voluntarily did the things that led to impeachment.
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Jackbought Ṁ20 of NO
You might want to clarify what "voluntarily" means. I'm guessing resignation, even if forced, counts?
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