If I review Rick Perlstein's "Nixonland", will it get at least 125 likes?
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Ṁ3425resolved Feb 28
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N/A1D
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This is a conditional prediction market intended to help me determine what books to review.
It resolves as positive if I post a review of "Nixonland" on ACX and get at least 125 Substack likes within one week of posting. It resolves as negative if I post the review and get fewer than 125 likes. If I don't review this book within a year, it resolves N/A.
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This post on Nixon from 03/21 got 135 likes and reader numbers probably only went up from then.
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/richard-nixon-vs-cool?s=r
Also the number of "yes" votes suggests up to 35 YES votes coming from bettors on this market.