1
Will Ukraine take Grayvoron this week?
16
resolved May 29
Resolved
NO

Context, as this is just unfolding:

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1660586319679029250?cxt=HHwWhIC89bSdy4suAAAA

Russian separatists seem to cooperate with Ukraine and took the border checkpoint at Kozinka. They seem to be carrying out operations on russian soil in order to create a "security strip".

I am interested in how wide this zone will be.

Resolution criteria will be the map of Deepstatelive:

https://deepstatemap.live/en#12/50.4802/35.6510

DeepStateMAP | Map of the war in Ukraine
DeepStateMAP | Map of the war in Ukraine
News of Russia’s war against Ukraine on the map

Market resolves yes if at any time before Monday 29th 15:00 GMT the area marked "contested" reaches the bridge of "Tarana Street" over the creek "Grayvoronka".

Sorry, but I haven't figured out how to place markers on Deepstatelive.

Here is the marker on google maps:

https://www.google.com/maps/place/50.482857,+35.685731/@50.481462,35.6853208,16z/data=!4m4!3m3!8m2!3d50.4828574!4d35.6857314

Here are the coordinates:

50.482857, 35.685731

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42irrationalist avatar
42irrationalistpredicted NO at 8%

The enemy has regained control of the area near Grayvoron.

Deepstatelive.map has updated the map, the territory near Grayvoron is no longer contested.

I think this is very unlikely to resolve YES at this point.

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismuspredicted YES at 3% (edited)

@42irrationalist yeah.

I found this video in a german social media platform:

https://pr0gramm.com/new/5699687

There was no source, but it sounds like the operation is over.

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismuspredicted YES at 22% (edited)

The Kremlin-Russians moved in with their air force.

Birger avatar
Birgerpredicted YES at 22%

@Schwabilismus source? :D

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismuspredicted YES at 22% (edited)

@Birger Okay this seems to be just an attack helicopter who accompanied the troop transport helicopter. I am still looking for the video of a mig i saw yesterday.
https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1660627318035955712?cxt=HHwWgIC-verv3YsuAAAA

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismuspredicted YES at 22%

@Birger I couldn't find the source anymore. I'll strikethrough my original comment.

42irrationalist avatar
42irrationalistpredicted NO at 29%

Getting closer than I expected.

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusbought Ṁ5 of YES
42irrationalist avatar
42irrationalistpredicted NO at 52%

@Schwabilismus Super interesting, thanks for updating! I'm curious to see whether they make enough progress for deepstate to consider the aforementioned point contested

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismuspredicted YES at 52%

@Schwabilismus drone footage of the separatists was geolocated:

https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1660683052580782083?s=20

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