Will the S&P 500 hit 7000 before November 2025?
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posting without commentary:

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 25% order

YES order up

can you tag this as S&P 500 and S&P 500 changes so I get the leaderboard points?

@jim 🫡

i really hope we are at like 6990 in the final hour of trading friday so i can watch this market swing wildly with every micro movement up or down

stock market participants pricing this at >20% BTW

@jim how do you see this

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Bayesian

the profit probability here, plus a bit (the prob was showing 17% when I made my comment)

jim:

stock market participants pricing this at >20%

also jim:

the prob was showing 17% when I made my comment

huh

@Bayesian because it going over 7000 doesn't imply profit? And also there's a $700 premium

bought Ṁ50 NO

oh ok i see now mb

@jim interesting incentives

bought Ṁ50 YES

@jim No one can definitely tell you the call delta

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

stock market participants pricing this at ~17% BTW

stock market participants pricing this at <10% BTW

@jim you've broken me, i was gonna make a new 5k limit order at 15% and double down until the end, but this time i am actually going to listen to the voice in my head telling me that's dumb

i’ll do it i don’t think that’s dumb

@Bayesian doubt jim's powers of prophecy at your own peril.

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 25% order

YES order up at 25%

reposted

can jims insane prediction from june actually come true? bet now on your phones

@SaviorofPlant frankly everyone seems to think this is inevitable at this stage

@jim fill my order at 60% then? 🥺

@Bayesian can I borrow 60k mana?

@jim Wtf are u doing

6700 👀

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