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@mods the creator is unresponsive, can this please resolve NO?

sorry

No problem, thank you!

Can this please be resolved NO?

Does confidence and supply count?

From Wikipedia:

A coalition government is a more formal arrangement than a confidence-and-supply agreement, in that members from junior parties (i.e., parties other than the largest) gain positions in the cabinet and ministerial roles, and are generally expected to hold the government whip on passing legislation.

Seems like it clearly does not count.

What counts is what you decide counts. Thank you for clarifying in this case confidence and supply doesn't count.

Wasn't sure if this had an obvious answer, but seems there's some disagreement, so I'm now upgrading this to a Basic market

By "NFP and Ensemble form a governing coalition" you mean all of NFP and Ensemble?

Yes

Including LFI then?

exactly. Including LFI, basically 0%, so kinda uninteresting; excluding LFI, interesting and relevamt question

Just placed a big bet relying on this "all of NFP and all of Ensemble" clarification as well as "only proper coalition counts, not confidence and supply".