Will Manifold think Grok 3 is the best LLM available to the public after it releases?
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1kṀ4979Feb 18
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I will run a poll 2 weeks after release and resolve this market to the most chosen answer in that poll (resolves 50/50 if it's a tie). The poll text will be: "Was Grok 3 the best LLM available to the public when it was released?"
Any model released after Grok 3 will not be asked about in the poll. If Grok 3 releases one day before GPT-4.5, the poll will specifically ask users not to compare the two. If the models are released on the same day UTC, that counts as a concurrent release and they can be compared.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1889913600325902704
Elon Musk says Grok 3 will be released in "a week or two" and it is "scary smart", displaying reasoning skills that outperform any other AI model that has been released
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