This model resolves N/A if no new Claude model is released by April 1st, contrary to a recent The Information article.

I will run a poll 2 weeks after release and resolve this market to the most chosen answer in that poll (resolves 50/50 if it's a tie).

Any model released after the new Claude update will not be asked about in the poll. If the Claude update releases one day before GPT-4.5 or Grok 3, the poll will specifically ask users not to compare the two. If the models are released on the same day UTC, that counts as a concurrent release and they can be compared.