![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FSaviorofPlant%2Fbec768b9ae1f.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will enough Tory MPs sign letters of no confidence to meet the typical threshold for a no confidence vote by June?
Basic
29
Ṁ3.8kresolved May 31
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's unclear whether a no confidence vote could actually be triggered preceding a planned election, so I've created this market. This market closes a bit early so I can recover some of my liquidity.
Resolves according to media reporting. If there is an article claiming that the number of letters is over the threshold, then this resolves YES. A no confidence vote does not actually need to be held.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ141 | |
2 | Ṁ118 | |
3 | Ṁ104 | |
4 | Ṁ85 | |
5 | Ṁ37 |
Sort by:
@SimonGrayson that would be a terrible idea for the conservative party since the election has already been called
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a vote of no confidence in the French National Assembly before the end of September?
80% chance
Will there be a successful non-confidence vote in the Canadian Parliament before the next general election in Oct2025
58% chance
How many Conservative MPs will have defected to Reform UK by one week after the new Conservative leader is chosen?
National parliament voting intention of the Conservatives in the UK as of 27 September 2024, according to Politico?
How many MPs will defect to another party in 2024?
Will any Conservative MPs defect to Reform in the day following the announcement of the new Conservative leader?
9% chance
Will Liz Truss ever again lead a political party with at least 1 sitting MP?
8% chance
Will there be a vote of no confidence against John Swinney (First Minister of Scotland) in 2024?