How many aviation accidents and incidents will occur in the United States in 2025?
22
1.1kṀ3796
Jun 25
3%
5 or less
6%
6
7%
7
9%
8
9%
9
29%
10-12
14%
13-15
7%
16-20
7%
21-30
9%
31+

Resolves according to the number of articles in this list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Aviation_accidents_and_incidents_in_the_United_States_in_2025

Count by year:
2021 - 7
2022 - 5
2023 - 8
2024 - 6
2025 - 4 (as of February 17)

2025 is currently on pace for 35 incidents. This is probably just random luck, but there are certain voices on the internet claiming that air safety has been impacted by current events (such as Boeing being terrible), so I'm creating a chance for you folks to put your mana where your mouth is.

This market closes on June 24 but resolves in January 2026. If some articles are nominated for deletion in January 2026, I will wait to see how the processes play out before resolving.

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