Valid answers must take adhere loosely to the form "If <event>, then <Candidate> will win <State>". If the conditional event described in the answer does not happen before the election, it resolves N/A. I will also resolve answers N/A if they have already happened between market creation and the time the answer was created. If an event does happen between April 14 and election day, it resolves YES or NO based on the presidential election outcome in the state.
We can get a rough idea of how Manifold thinks various events might impact the election results by comparing probabilities in this market with other state-level markets like this one: https://manifold.markets/Ernie/2024-biden-wins-which-states-multip
1,000
3.00@SaviorofPlant Markets of the form "if [thing that happened] happens, Biden will win X" should be resolved to NO rather than N/A.
@PatrickLV Which one did I misresolve? This was the intention, the N/A resolutions were all for things I thought didn't happen.
@mods all remaining options should N/A, but "APIError: Negative payouts too large for resolution. Contact admin or mod." is preventing me from resolving them
@traders Manifold is removing the ability to resolve answers N/A as part of the pivot. If this happens, I will be forced to resolve answers as NO if the conditional event in the question does not occur.
It's possible markets will still be able to resolve N/A if they were created before the pivot. In this case I will proceed as intended.