Valid answers must take adhere loosely to the form "If <event>, then <Candidate> will win <State>". If the conditional event described in the answer does not happen before the election, it resolves N/A. I will also resolve answers N/A if they have already happened between market creation and the time the answer was created. If an event does happen between April 14 and election day, it resolves YES or NO based on the presidential election outcome in the state.

We can get a rough idea of how Manifold thinks various events might impact the election results by comparing probabilities in this market with other state-level markets like this one: https://manifold.markets/Ernie/2024-biden-wins-which-states-multip