Will we discover a chess player with ELO > 1500 cheating in an over-the-board chess tournament using anal devices by 2025?
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2025
6%
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I don't play a lot of chess so if there are ambiguity, assume I was not aware. If it is ambiguous and no clarifications were made beforehand, then I will resolve with my best judgement, following the spirit of the market.

Resolves YES if there is conclusive evidence that a chess player with FIDE rating > 1500 have cheated by putting any device(s) that can transmit information up their ass, during an OTB tournament match, before EOY 2025. DOESN'T COUNT IF THEY GOT CAUGHT BEFOREHAND.

Conclusive Evidence: hard to define so here is an non-exhaustive list

  1. we got the anal beads/butt plug straight from their ass

  2. An x-ray scanner got a photo of the beads

  3. The organizers claim that the player have cheated using anal beads

2023/12/23: Shoving anything into the ass counts, not just beads

2023/12/23: Artificial anus counts as their ass if the player was forced to get one from surgery due to their medical condition. Otherwise it doesn't count.

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predicts NO

@Edvirtus “Based on our understanding of the situation, it is currently impossible to prove that Yan engaged in cheating via ‘anal beads’ as speculated on social media,” the CXA said.

But I definitely didn't expect that lol

predicts NO

To clarify, are we talking only about the anus? Like, the vagina wouldn't count? And a device in the shoe or implanted in the ear definitely wouldn't?

predicts NO

@Mad Only the anus. The natural one. An artificial anus wouldn't count. A vagina wouldn't count. Shoe and ears are also not anus. Must be the anus of the chess player themselves.

Ok actually I can make an exception to artificial anus if the chess player had to do surgery due to their medicial condition to get an artificial one, because they lost their natural one or some sort of illness or accidents.

Does it have to be beads? i.e. would a butt plug / similar count?

predicts NO

@kaizen Should count. Edited Title and description. Thanks for asking!

bought Ṁ5 of NO
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