Will we discover a chess player attempt to cheat in an over-the-board chess tournament using anal devices by 2026/12/30?
3
1kṀ805
2026
4%
chance

Note: This market has notable deviations from the previous one, please re-read the description.

Resolves YES if there is strong evidence** that a chess player with FIDE rating > 1500 have planned to cheat or have cheated by putting any device(s) that can transmit information up their ass*, during an over-the-board tournament match, on or before 2026/12/30 (see close time for timezone). COUNTS EVEN IF THEY GOT CAUGHT BEFOREHAND.

This market is about whether we have discovered such information on or before 2026/12/30, so if we only learned about such cheating after the close date, it won't count.


Fineprints for shitposting purposes

*Artificial anus counts as their ass if the player was forced to get one from surgery due to their medical condition, otherwise it doesn't count. If someone has multiple artificial anuses, I will only consider the earliest artificial anus, out of all the ones which have medical usages at the time of cheating, as their ass.

**Strong Evidence: hard to define so here is an non-exhaustive list

  1. We got the anal beads/butt plug straight from their ass

  2. An x-ray scanner got a photo of the beads, during the player's entrance to the tournament location, during the tournament, or within some reasonable time afterwards

  3. The organizers claim that the player have cheated using anal beads

  4. The player themselves said they have cheated and provided somewhat detailed description on how they did it

  5. Credible insiders claimed that the player have cheated this way

I don't play a lot of chess so if there are ambiguity, assume I was not aware. If it is ambiguous and no clarifications were made beforehand, then I will resolve with my best judgement, following the spirit of the market.

I will bet on the market, if there are ambiguities during resolution, I will either exit in a way where I have net loss in the market, or delegate the resolution to unbiased moderators who I have no special associations with.

This market intentionally resolves 1 day before EOY 2026 to allow release of mana for EOY betting.


Related news you may find interesting

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/12/26/chinese-chess-world-rocked-anal-beads-defecation-scandal/

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