Background
Although tornadoes are observed all over the world, the United States experience tornado activities more frequently than any other places on Earth. The NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) Storm Prediction Center tracks the activities of tornadoes in the continental US and issues preliminary reports for tornado activities, alongside severe wind and hail events each month.
Although a typical tornado season in the United States peaks between March and June, tornado outbreaks have been documented in every month of the year.
As such, this market aims to capture the number of tornadoes in the United States during the month of December in 2023, and asks how many tornadoes will there be in the continental US during the period of time, according to NOAA Storm Prediction Center. The question has been adapted from the Kalshi market that asks the same thing and resolves similarly.
Options of higher counts might be added as tornado counts increase.
Resolution Criteria
An option resolves YES when the preliminary number of tornadoes as recorded in the preliminary report from NOAA Storm Prediction Center reaches said range, at or before the end of December 2023.
I will not bet on this market, but I will put Ṁ150 in as subsidy.
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@traders It would appear that the count by the end of December 2023 is 46. This means options for above 50 and the rest above would be resolved NO. Since this market has a fairly objective criterion, I am going to resolve this market at closure time as NO, unless anyone objects in the comments below.
@SirCryptomind I planned to. Unless I am interrupted by real-life commitments. But even then, I should still check the site and resolve the markets in due time, I hope.
@SarkanyVar By the way, Above 40 will be resolved YES as the current count on the preliminary report is 41.
@SarkanyVar If you create one for January 2024, can I add it to my Topic Leaderboard? Will probably bring more engagement too. https://shorturl.at/bvIV4
5, 10, 20 all can be YES ; Data from source you specified.
Might want to add a Above 60 (but probably not).
@SirCryptomind The answers can be individually resolved, so both can be and will be resolved to YES in that case.