Will sports still matter a lot to the average American in 2040?
Basic
4
Ṁ235resolved Feb 19
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve positively ("Yes") if sports still matter a lot to the average American on January 1, 2040.
Examples of sports mattering a lot:
- Youth spend significant amounts of time training, playing and thinking about sports
- Adults spend significant time/money watching sports or organizing social outings around sporting events
- Media dedicate content to analyze sports or use sports as a lens in which to discuss contemporary issues
- Talented athletes hold an elevated status in culture/society and earn high wages
I generally define sports as physical athletic activity but may shift this definition to consider e-sports if it makes sense in the context of 2040.
Dec 29, 1:53am: This is a subjective question but I feel that it's resolvable. I'll probably do some research on money spent on sports, the size of the sports market, etc but it'll be more of a gut feeling resolution. Are kids still seeking athletic scholarships? Are sports bars thriving on Saturday/Sunday nights? Is sports still a common language in which average Americans discuss contemporary issues? These are the kinds of questions I'll use to decide whether sports still matter a lot.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
35% chance
Which 2024 Event Will Result in the Highest Value? (Sports, politics)
Will sports betting be significantly restricted in the U.S. by 2030?
47% chance
Will American Football still be the most popular spectator sport in the US in 2028?
93% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
38% chance
Will there be a "Doping-Allowed Olympics" by 2050?
45% chance
Will climate change still be a controversial topic in the public eye by 2040?
47% chance
👟Which athletes will still be competing at a similar level or higher at EOY 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will a New York sports team win a championship by the end of the 2025 sports season?
33% chance
Sustituirán los juegos en línea a los deportes reales en la vida de la gente en las próximas décadas?
41% chance