Will sports still matter a lot to the average American in 2040?
4
100Ṁ235
resolved Feb 19
Resolved
N/A
This market will resolve positively ("Yes") if sports still matter a lot to the average American on January 1, 2040. Examples of sports mattering a lot: - Youth spend significant amounts of time training, playing and thinking about sports - Adults spend significant time/money watching sports or organizing social outings around sporting events - Media dedicate content to analyze sports or use sports as a lens in which to discuss contemporary issues - Talented athletes hold an elevated status in culture/society and earn high wages I generally define sports as physical athletic activity but may shift this definition to consider e-sports if it makes sense in the context of 2040. Dec 29, 1:53am: This is a subjective question but I feel that it's resolvable. I'll probably do some research on money spent on sports, the size of the sports market, etc but it'll be more of a gut feeling resolution. Are kids still seeking athletic scholarships? Are sports bars thriving on Saturday/Sunday nights? Is sports still a common language in which average Americans discuss contemporary issues? These are the kinds of questions I'll use to decide whether sports still matter a lot.
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the US Still Be Considered a Superpower by EOY 2040?
+4% 1d69% chance
Will American Football still be the most popular spectator sport in the US in 2028?
93% chance
Will the USMNT win a World Cup by EOY 2050?
-5% 1d43% chance
Given that Trump wins, will sports betting be substantially less legal federally at the end of 2025?
25% chance
Which GOATs in their respective sports will be widely considered to have been surpassed by 2050?
Will the world be more democratic in 2045?
27% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
83% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
81% chance
Will the record for largest sports contract be broken before 2026?
51% chance
Will a New York sports team win a championship by the end of the 2025 sports season?
24% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy