MANIFOLD
"I Used To Say Israel Was Not Committing A Genocide In Gaza. I was Wrong. This is why." like count?
13
Ṁ250Ṁ4.8k
resolved Jun 17
Resolved
200+
100%81%
200+
0.8%
30 - 49
0.8%
50 - 69
0.8%
70 - 89
0.8%
90 - 109
0.8%
110 - 129
0.6%
130 - 149
0.7%
150 - 169
14%
170 - 199

Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, an Israeli historian and host of "The History Of The Land Of Israel" Podcast wrote a Substack article titled "I Used To Say Israel Was Not Committing A Genocide In Gaza. I was Wrong. This is why." How many likes will this article get on Substack on expiration?

If the article gets taken down and reposted, which resets the likes, I will make a new market for that article and cancel this one. It's set to expire in 3 months when hopefully the like count is more stable since I don't know if there's an easy process to get history like count as specific times/dates.

Source: https://shaielbenephraim.substack.com/p/i-used-to-say-israel-was-not-committing

  • Update 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that this market will be resolved early if the Substack article's like count reaches 200 or more.

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The problem I realized with a market like this, is if it's not in the thousands or more in likes, it's easy to manipulate upwards if someone shares with their friends.

If the likes reach 200+ I'll resolve the market early

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 1.0% order

@Samaritan What does "How many likes will this article get on Substack on expiration?" mean? I'm not super familiar with substack. Do you mean expiration of this market?

bought Ṁ10 NO
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