The Employment Trends Index (ETI) is a composite of US labor market indicators, published monthly by the Conference Board.

Resolution criteria:

I will compare the initial March figure to the initial, unrevised February figure, which was 105.37. The revised February figure will not be relevant for this market.

The March figure must be strictly higher than the initial, unrevised February figure for this market to resolve Yes.

The March ETI is due to be published on 6th April 2026. If publication is delayed, I will wait until the end of May and then, if there is still no available figure for March, I would resolve as N/A.

If publication of the index ceases prior to publication, or the index ceases to be publicly available, the market would resolve N/A.

I may bet on this market.

Primary resolution source: https://www.conference-board.org/topics/employment-trends-index/

I may also consider other statements by the Conference Board, or by credible media reporting, if unforeseen circumstances complicate the resolution of this market. In such a situation I would also ask for opinions from market participants.