Will Scotland vote for independence in the 2023 referendum? | Manifold

Will Scotland vote for independence in the 2023 referendum?

27

closes Jan 1

59%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional upon Scotland holding another referendum on independence in 2023 (as per Nicola Sturgeon's plan https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-28/scotland-plans-referendum-on-independence-in-october-next-year ), will the pro-independence side win? (Resolves N/A if no such referendum occurs.)

Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm

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Sort by:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/oct/11/the-scottish-referendum-supreme-court-case-what-you-need-to-know-indyref2

Remi vise la mire bought Ṁ10 NO from 60% to 59%

Super Tax Genius bought Ṁ10 YES from 59% to 60%

Graeme Currie bought Ṁ50 NO from 61% to 59%

Elliot Davies bought Ṁ10 NO from 62% to 61%

Sophia bought Ṁ10 YES at 62%

Stig Johan bought Ṁ10 YES from 61% to 62%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 61% (cancelled)

N.C. Young filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 60%

Nostradamnedus bought Ṁ10 YES from 55% to 56%

Swordfish42 bought Ṁ10 YES from 54% to 55%

Swordfish42 bought Ṁ10 YES from 53% to 54%

alea bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 53%

Jo Small bought Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 52%

CubityFirst bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 51%

Ansel bought Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 52%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 51% (cancelled)

David Atkinson bought Ṁ70 NO from 59% to 50%

Andrew Hartman bought Ṁ20 YES from 57% to 59%

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ7 YES at 57% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ7 YES at 57% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 99.0% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ18 NO at 97% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ15 NO at 90% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ13 NO at 95% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 98% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ12 NO at 96% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 1.0% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ5 NO at 92% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ8 NO at 94% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ4 NO at 93% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ24 NO at 88% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ4 NO at 91% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 2% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ5 YES at 3% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ2 NO at 99.0% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 98% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ4 NO at 97% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ5 NO at 96% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ7 NO at 95% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 1.0% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 2% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 3% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 4% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 5% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 6% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 7% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 8% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 9% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ3 YES at 12% (cancelled)

VelocityBot created limit order for Ṁ7 YES at 10% (cancelled)

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