Will Scotland vote for independence in the 2023 referendum?
27
closes Jan 1
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ16 +69%
New probability
60% +0.6%
Conditional upon Scotland holding another referendum on independence in 2023 (as per Nicola Sturgeon's plan https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-28/scotland-plans-referendum-on-independence-in-october-next-year ), will the pro-independence side win? (Resolves N/A if no such referendum occurs.)
Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm
Get Ṁ500 play money
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