Will the Bitcoin money supply exceed 21 million units any time before 2040?
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predicts YES

I made this market to try to be a little more clear about the resolution criteria

bought Ṁ0 of NO

My description of the most likely scenario for this to resolve YES would be this: Over the course of the 2020s bitcoin sees mainstream adoption, so that the median bitcoin-holder economic ideology becomes less anarcho-libertarian and more Keynesian. Then sometime in the 2030s, a major issue with mining gaps arises and the broader technical and political community advocate ending the halvening cycle for the sake of network stability. A fork happens and the inflation side becomes dominant, and becomes considered to be the "real bitcoin".

Many would say this is literally impossible, because any system that allowed more than 21M units would "not really be Bitcoin". @SG How are you defining "Bitcoin"?