It's time to make decision markets great again!
Tell Manifold what it needs to do increase mana sales. Add your suggested actions as a response to this market and trade on which ones you think are most impactful. If we do the action and it leads to the most mana sales, that option resolves affirmatively.
Caveats: Actions must be things that we do between now and the election. If the action happened before this market was created it won't count. "Doing the action" means that we implemented ~90% of what's suggested according to my own discretion. Multiple actions can be realized by the same state-of-affairs: If the thing that causes the most mana sales is being retweeted by Elon Musk, answers like "Tweet more", "Engage with famous people", and "Have Elon Musk promote it" would all resolve YES. Attributing casualty is a hard problem. I will use my own judgment to guess which actions caused which sales. If I estimate multiple top actions are responsible for mana sales and are within ~30% of each other, I will resolve all of those options YES. I will immediately N/A answers I think dumb, bad, too vague, too difficult to implement, or trollish. Answers which we do not implement get N/A'd.
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ752 | |
| 2 | αΉ605 | |
| 3 | αΉ78 | |
| 4 | αΉ34 | |
| 5 | αΉ28 |
People are also trading
@MaxTweddell No longer the case. International users can buy mana now! (They just canβt receive sweepcash bonuses yet.)
@SG Can you ellaborate? Receiving something is an action done by somebody else (media in this case ), so how can this be an action you implement?
disregard
Ah shoot sorry, bad question, I should have known better. I mean to 1% or less. It's too late now to edit it :P
(rationale being it's just not worth arbing closely against other platforms at 5% -- you need to be off by 2 points for it to be worth it, so manifold misses out on a lot of the volume from variance on other markets)
@npfoss Okay, that's about what I was picturing. Was just wondering if you were thinking more like "4% is a significant cut from 5%" or "almost as low as transaction costs in USD can possibly go, to try to join the party with other platforms"
@GazDownright proving I'm a genius (i'm not but still....) and adding tension to dolphins vs cardinals all without bankrupting my family
Make a UI for "normies" <-- I like the current design, but I like spreadsheet-style games, so probably ignore my preferences and do the opposite π if you want to appeal a broader audience maybe more like Kalshi, less like polymarket, to put it plainly π€·ββοΈ (polymarket already appeals to crypto dudes which are used to exchange UIs)
@SG I didn't realise this wasn't possible, and this limits some ways I want to use the site soonish. Is there a reason why non-verified users can't just have Sweepcash and not withdraw it?
Offer a Sweepcash incentive to anyone who simultaneously owns at least $100 in positions on each "swing state" market. Users will need to both buy mana and bet against each other to achieve this.
(That is, $100 "spent" on each. Not 'to win'.)
Get featured on electionbettingodds.com like these other sites:
We have a user named Maxim Lott, whether it is the same guy, I don't know.