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MANIFOLD
What will the Manifold Team need to improve on in May?
11
Ṁ680Ṁ262
resolved Jun 6
41%12%
Not enough usage of private groups
25%16%
Search continues to be bad
12%8%
Supabase migration is taking a while
9%11%
Surfacing news-relevant markets
5%6%
Stil no way to browse markets by topic on markets page
4%5%
New multi-choice started but not shipped
2%11%
Parimutuel markets need easier ways to set odds for multiple options at the same time - people prefer individual mutually exclusive "X yes/no, Y yes/no, Z yes/no" markets because parimutuel continues to be unintuitive
1%9%
UI for setting limit orders is unintuitive
13%Other
4%
Improve user experience around "this market should be closed because the result has occurred or is impossible" ie, team eliminated, candidate declares they are not running for President, etc.
5%
Begin taking steps towards cheaper time step updates and move away from full queries for user stat updates so that queries don't take so long and updates can feel more responsive.

Includes everything Manifold does, not only new features. I will resolve according to my own subjective judgment of impact and will not spend that much time tabulating the results. I will penalize duplicate suggestions and give greater weight to more specific answers. I will probably give nearly every real, impactful, non-troll answer some weight in the final resolution.

Forward-looking, futarchic version of : https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/manifold-team-april-retro-what-coul

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@Sinclair There's a bunch of tiny things to fix all the time. In particular, Sinclair doesn't know what's up with Real Time, and it doesn't seem to be working

It seems to work sometimes in production, but not in dev, so it's hard to figure things out. We might have to figure out how to do real time over again, correctly.

[J] If we have to build a realtime backend, that's too big -- either use Firebase, or wait for Supabase to get better
[S] bump to tomorrow

@Sinclair And relatedly, our private group rollout strategy was not that well thought out.

I'm reopening this market. Generally, it's poor form to re-open a DPM market, but since I'm going to be resolving to multiple options, the harms of pot-stealing are relatively small. I will also not trade in this market before resolving (other than to potentially add new answers at the minimum ante amount).

Search continues to be bad

Not sure what specifically this is referring to but sometimes the results fail to match up with what's been typed in the search bar - like keystrokes 1-10 were captured but 11-15 were ignored.

for instance because the feature finished late, or we're bad at sales, or companies want something we're not providing

turns out it got shipped and has some amount of usage for personal / test markets, but little institutional usage

more usage than I predicted!

As an example of the issues with parimutuel betting, I've added three suggestions that I hoped would have equal weight because I bet equal amounts on each, and the percentages for each are now 15%, 14%, and 12%.