The first person to create a Community Note on Twitter/X which 1. links to a high-quality market on Manifold 2. attached to a tweet with at least 10,000 impressions that 3. remains up for at least 24 hours and 4. posts a link to that tweet in the comments here will win the full bounty.

The Community Note must be your own to claim this bounty. I will reject tweets / Notes that are botted, involve fake impressions, or otherwise violate the spirit of this market. The market linked to in the Community Note should be reasonably high quality and from a creator with a history of honorable resolutions.

Rough summary of how Community Notes (CN) work:

• Community notes is an open-source project recently introduced on X (prev Twitter)

• Any Twitter user with a verified phone number can sign up to be a contributor.

• Any contributor can write a note that provides additional context on any tweet.

• Multiple contributors can write notes which other contributors can vote on which is the best one. Then using an algorithm one may be shown in the description of the tweet - normally in cases where the original tweet contains misinformation or is misleading.

• CNs often contain a link to some sort of news source which includes an image preview to said source. The idea is that this in theory could be a prediction market, but someone just has to link one.

Sign up to be a CN contributor.

Then start creating notes which include a Manifold market as the source!

If we end up officially partnering with X to add prediction markets as some sort of new feature, then this will also count as long as it is using Manifold on the backend to create the market.

See also: /SirSalty/will-there-be-a-manifold-link-in-an

The winning submission, from @DanMan314: https://twitter.com/i/communitynotes/t/1750178601952018709