Will my vibe-coded Kalshi algorithm be profitable?
10
100Ṁ209
Dec 31
30%
chance

I will create a Kalshi statistical strategy to place trades algorithmically via API, using AI to code. I will exercise some oversight over the AI code, and give direction on what to do. The algorithm idea itself is my own (not AI).

Resolves to YES if the strategy is profitable when deployed in practice. Resolves NO otherwise.

You are encouraged to ask questions to gain more information.

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Hey, I'm doing this too! Mine's like 70% vibe coding, and will be public (but you give up all rights to the info you put into the tool). I'll let you know when it's usable.

Curious if you want to collaborate instead though!

Also, fwiw, if you keep your algorithm simple I bet it'll work. There's lots of dumb obvious opportunities on Kalshi right now. They're not common or predictable without understanding the meaning of the markets, but when you think just a tiny bit there's big holes (eg, series like 'before apr; before mar; before may" not being consistent across time.) And there's also huge spreads with sufficient volume, so if you're just cleverly eating the spread with algorithms I don't know, you'll probably make money there too.

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