[Redwood Research] Will we finish sufficient empirical work to write a paper for the monitoring project by 10/03?
7
closes Oct 4
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ20 +101.2%
New probability
51% +3%
Resolves based on my judgement
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Does this mean "we will finish all the experiments but still need to write the paper" or "we will have written and published a paper"?
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