Will I get a boy/girlfriend and be able to keep that relationship alive for at least 2 months this year?
Personal GoalsDatingRelationshipsNew Year's Resolutions 2024
Basic
30
Ṁ4.0k
Nov 1
29%
chance

I have a weird history with dating and relationships. While most of my relationships do last for a fairly long time, they are very few and far between. I had a somewhat long term relationship with someone last year that would meet this criteria but ultimately ended due to some poor decision making on my part and her being a pain.

Some additional info for informed betting

  • My type is anyone who is willing to listen to me ramble about my hobbies (and has a pulse).

  • I intend to make a semi-active effort to find a romantic partner, however it will most likely not be on the forefront of my mind.

  • I am reasonably social

This market resolves YES under the following conditions:

  • If I ask someone out, they say yes, and we are still dating 2 months later.

  • If someone asks me out, I say yes, and we are still dating 2 months later.

This market resolves NO under the following conditions:

  • If I ask someone out, they say yes, but we break up before 2 months pass.

  • If someone asks me out, I say yes, but we break up before 2 months pass.

  • I do not have a boy/girlfriend anytime after November 1st.

Also to get the semantics out of the way:

  1. I will not bet NO on this market and I cannot sell any YES shares I purchase

  2. The 2 month period has to be with the same person.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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17 Comments
30 Holders
51 Trades
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reposted

I broke it off. I'm not going to go into the details of my personal life, but know this was for the best.

bought Ṁ100 NO from 40% to 37%
bought Ṁ100 NO

@Rucker shouldn't this resolve to NO then?

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

So I somehow (and I'm still not entirely sure how I did this) got both a boyfriend and a girlfriend. Whoever made that bot that bets no on a Manifolder's ability to find love is quaking in their boots rn.

Just to clarify they know about each other. It's a poly relationship

reposted

Valentine's Day is coming up in a few days. Will someone confess to me or will I be stuck playing RuneScape by myself?

If you live in the PNW area, I'd be interested in going on a date with you!

predicts YES

@TiredCliche thank you for the offer. As funny as that would be, I don't think I'm in the area and going out with someone from manifold feels kinda like cheating.

@Rucker Oh, I thought you were single. Sorry!

predicts YES

@TiredCliche no I'm single I just meant that it wouldn't be in the spirit of the market.

@Rucker Oh! 😅 Well, I disagree, I don't think that counts as cheating at all! I mean, there's already a companion dating site. So if anything, Manifold incentivizes users to date each other. https://manifold.love/TiredCliche

predicts YES

@TiredCliche oh yeah manifold love I forgot about that. I should give it a shot. But I'm still not in Seattle so I don't think we could go on a date

@Rucker I don't mean to be pushy, but I can leave Seattle. Are you in the WA/OR/ID region? (Aka PNW area)

predicts YES

@TiredCliche I'm on the east coast. I can assure you I am not worth the 42 hour drive

@Rucker Understandable. I probably can't justify traveling to the east coast unless you live somewhere with a bunch of awesome museums.

I mean, that would make an adorable story, to be fair. "I met your mom on a gambling website, I asked her out, caught a flight across the country and we spent a manic week going to art museums."

predicts YES

@TiredCliche if I am ever in Seattle we need to make this happen that would be way too funny

predicts YES

rejected

predicts YES

Update we are not cooking lmao

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