Resolves YES if, before market close, a medical authority, law enforcement entity, member of Naroditsky's family, Naroditsky's friends, or chess peers (excluding Kramnik) unambiguously, publicly states something that implies they believe it is more likely than not that Daniel Naroditsky's death was a suicide.
Examples of statements that would cause a YES resolution:
"Naroditsky committed suicide"
"Naroditsky likely committed suicide"
"Naroditsky probably committed suicide"
"I think that Naroditsky committed suicide"
Examples of statements that would not cause a YES resolution:
"Naroditsky may have committed suicide"
"In light of Naroditsky's death, if you are feeling suicidal, please seek help"
Otherwise, resolves NO at market close.
1,000Man, that is so sad. I've enjoyed well over 100 hours of his content in my life.
I saw the thumbnail/title of his last YouTube video titled You Thought I Was Gone!? Speedrun Returns! | English, French | GM Naroditsky's DYI Speedrun a couple days ago and literally thought the "gone" in "You Thought I Was Gone!?" meant "dead" but then didn't put two-and-two together to realize it was a cry for help. Instead I just dismissed it in one second as a bad title (a wordless "don't joke about death" thought crossed my mind before I went back to what I was doing). In retrospect, it seems obvious that Naroditsky's suicide risk was significantly above base rate, but the hypothesis never occurred to me to seriously consider it. Very sad. (To be clear, I don't have any private insight into whether Naroditsky's cause of death is suicide; that just seems ~90% likely to me based on what I know from his public content.) I wish people wouldn't commit suicide, at least not without very explicitly telling everyone so they have an opportunity to intervene. Suicides are such needless tragedies. There are enough problems in the world that are hard to solve, we don't have to add more.