Will Amit be late to pay back a loan, and if not, did I bail him out?
16%
Amit is late to pay back a loan
28%
Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I bailed him out
56%
Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I never bailed him out

Resolves "Amit is late to pay back a loan" if this market resolves YES.

If the linked market resolves NO:

  • Resolves "Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I bailed him out" if at any point, I sent mana to Amit that I did not expect to be repaid, sent mana to any of Amit's creditors that I did not expect to be repaid, or forgave (even partially) one of my loans to Amit because I believed he would otherwise imminently default.

  • Otherwise, resolves "Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I never bailed him out".

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this is strictly a 'what you will do' prediction, as opposed to 'what you should do' one

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