Who am I thinking of? (guessing game)
32
500Ṁ15k
resolved May 20
100%99.3%
Tumbles
0.2%
@strutheo
0.2%
@Robincvgr
0.1%
@Fion
0.2%Other

  • I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, it will be extended for one more week.

  • Each user can ask one yes-or-no-question in the comments every twelve hours, which I will try to answer in a reasonable time (note at time of market creation: I might go to bed in a couple hours but I'll answer the first batch of questions quickly)

  • I may reject meta-questions that reveal too much (e.g. "have they already been added to this market") at my discretion.

Sorry for low liquidity, keeping it low to make it cheap to add answers.

I will not bet in this market, of course.

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/remedyrain/who-am-i-guessing-game, attempting to better structure it

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A similar guessing game with a slightly different format:

Another related market! Am I thinking of Tumbles too? (Hint: no.)

This market has transformed into an interrogation room now.

What are his bank account login details, and do you have a crush on him?

@TheAllMemeingEye hey only one question at a time

@Robincvgr I'll spend my 12-hour credit on the 2nd question.

@Quroe no

Quick, somebody ask if he has a chance.

@Robincvgr does he have a chance?

@TheAllMemeingEye probably not

@Robincvgr does anybody who has commented or traded on this market have a chance?

@TheAllMemeingEye I don't know

This one may be a little harder

@Robincvgr Will he be late to pay back a loan?

@FergusArgyll probably but I'm hoping not

To your knowledge, has he performed any actions that would indicate to you that he will, in fact, move forward with providing you with his blood (such as acquiring the tooling, asking for your mailing address, et cetera)?

This market has transformed into an interrogation room now.

@Quroe nothing nonpublic but he's continued talking about it on the discord

bought Ṁ250 YES

Did they lose a huge amount of mana on the Canadian election market?

@GastonKessler yes

Are they associated with losing a lot of mana, being “loaned”/gifted over a million mana from a Manifold founder, then losing even more mana; as well as playing Super Smash Bros. and Magic: The Gathering?

@Tumbles you’re (in)famous.

@snazzlePop yes

@Robincvgr oh so my answer was right then, that's excellent

filled a Ṁ1,124 YES at 99.0% order

@Gameknight This is one Tumbles bandwagon I'll hop on.

bought Ṁ3 YES

Less than 12 hours. Sorry

Are they someone whose blood you are trying to acquire and likely consume?

@AlexanderTheGreater ...yes

@Robincvgr well, missed that buying opportunity but at least I got to ask the first and last question 🙂

bought Ṁ10 NO

@AlexanderTheGreater Who says Tumbles is the only bloodboy they're after?

@TimothyBandors we have no evidence robin is trying to acquire anyone else's blood right now (who they also follow are not in masters and etc).

and a good chunk of those people are on discord and have participated in the discussion lol, it would make sense to have brought it up to them by now

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