When will there be a publicly available Nintendo Switch 2 emulator that can play through five Nintendo games?
When will there be a publicly available Nintendo Switch 2 emulator that can play through five Nintendo games?
5
1kṀ8282036
May 10, 2030
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
12%
Before 2026
24%
Before 2027
34%
Before 2028
50%
Before 2029
57%
Before 2030
59%
Before 2031
59%
Before 2032
63%
Before 2033
75%
Before 2034
82%
Before 2035
Resolves to the first time period (AoE) in which a Nintendo Switch 2 emulator that can be used to play through at least five Nintendo-published games is publicly available.
"play through" - The game can be completed with no game-breaking glitches or major graphical or audio glitches. Minor graphical or audio glitches are OK. Similar to Dolphin's definition of "playable".
"Nintendo-published games" - "Nintendo" appears in the Publisher(s) column on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nintendo_Switch_2_games (even if one of multiple publishers)
"publicly available" - the general public can access and run the emulator. Can be paid, can be closed source, the general public just has to be able to access and run the emulator binaries.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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