Which of these series will have games on Nintendo Switch 2 announced before 2026?
22
1.4kṀ15k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
Animal Crossing
Resolved
YES
The Legend of Zelda
Resolved
YES
Super Mario
Resolved
YES
Donkey Kong
Resolved
YES
Fallout
Resolved
YES
Plants vs. Zombies
Resolved
NO
Halo
Resolved
NO
Super Smash Bros.
Resolved
NO
WarioWare
Resolved
NO
Rhythm Heaven
Resolved
NO
Mario Golf
Resolved
NO
Microsoft Flight Simulator
Resolved
NO
The Sims (excluding MySims)
Resolved
NO
Grand Theft Auto
Resolved
NO
Mario Maker
Resolved
NO
Nintendogs
Resolved
NO
Call of Duty
Resolved
NO
Luigi's Mansion
Resolved
NO
Half-Life

Main market: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/which-of-these-series-will-ever-hav

For each series, the respective market will resolve YES if:

  • A new game in the series is announced specifically for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • A game being announced for Nintendo Switch and the Switch 2 being backwards compatible is NOT sufficient.

    • A game with specific versions for multiple consoles (like how Twilight Princess released for both GameCube and Wii, or third-party multiplatform games) IS sufficient. (ETA: This includes Nintendo Switch 2 Edition games)

  • A port or remaster of an existing game in the series is announced for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • Emulations (such as Atari 50 or the Nintendo Switch Online service) are NOT sufficient.

Note that, unlike the main market, markets resolve when games are announced, not released.

All other markets resolve NO at market close.

Whether a given game is part of a given series will be determined by how it is described by a consensus of reporting. If a market resolution seems likely to be controversial, I may conduct a Manifold poll to assist in determing the resolution.

  • Update 2025-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If there are separate builds for Switch 1 and Switch 2 (like Twilight Princess on GC and Wii), that is sufficient.

    • If there is extra functionality on Switch 2 that most backward-compatible games don't get (like DSi-enhanced software on DS games), that is sufficient.

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So yeah, I was right as well – my gut feeling nailed it from the start, just like I thought. And get this, I play jetx too! I've been hooked on it for months now. That rush when the jet takes off and the multiplier starts climbing... man, it's addictive. You gotta time that cash-out perfectly or boom, it's gone. What's your go-to strategy? Do you play it safe at low multipliers or chase the big ones?

bought Ṁ600 YES

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bought Ṁ920 YES

@Robincvgr resolves yes for mario wonder NS 2 Edition

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@Kraalnaxx I HAVE NEVER BEEN SO HAPPY TO BE RIGHT

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