When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week?
9
100Ṁ567
2028
4%
2025
20%
2026
33%
2027
39%
2028
4%
Never/later
When the above market stays ≥95% according to the web UI for at least 160 hours in any 168 hour period, this market will resolve to the year (anywhere on Earth) in which that 168 hour period ends.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
1,000 to start trading!