If two interferometers are built in different places, does each resolve to 50%?

@ArmandodiMatteo Yes, if the project board decide 2 different locations will get a telescope facility, the market will resolve to 50% on both locations.

See also: https://manifold.markets/mariopasquato/where-will-the-next-generation-eu-g?r=bWFyaW9wYXNxdWF0bw

Nice to see growing interest in science related prediction markets.

Yeah there are a ton of markets on predicting AI development, those have been around for a long time but now those on specific scientific issues are growing too.

@RobinJanssens Nice question! Will this resolve on reports of where it will be built, or does it require it actually to be built?

And if there are no such reports by market close, does it resolve N/A, or get extended (perhaps resolving N/A also if there are reliable reports that the project has been cancelled)?

@chrisjbillington Thanks for the question.
- An official communication on the selection of a project site will be sufficient to resolve this market.
- It is currently expected that a decision can be made in 2024 but as with many politically involved stuff it is possible this get postponed, In that case it will be extended.
- In case of cancellation of the project, the market get resolved N/A.
I will update this in the description.