Will Deadpool 3 achieve 9.0+ score on imdb.com?
24
1kṀ13k
resolved Feb 14
Resolved
NO

Will “Deadpool and Wolverine” have an IMDb rating of 9 or higher on Feb. 1, 2025?

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ291
2Ṁ142
3Ṁ132
4Ṁ130
5Ṁ100
Sort by:

Changed date to Feb. 1. 2025 to let the reviews settle.

Resolves NO

Changed date to Feb. 1. 2025 to let the reviews settle.

When? The scores are very noisy within weeks/months after being published.

My guess is on August 1st, the close date of the market, but agreed that it’d be better for the market to specify explicitly

Hm... the movie comes out on July 26th, but the question resolves on August 1st. I think that's going to be really noisy then. My guess is that if the score is >9 then, it's 80% likely to go under 9 within 6 months, then settle.

Comment hidden
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules