## Related questions

Will the next president state a P(doom)?

Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

18% chance

Will janus/@repligate meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

40% chance

Will MIRI meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

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Will QACI alignment affect p(doom) more than 5%?

33% chance

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49% chance

What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2025?

39% chance

Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

18% chance

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

31% chance

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?

63% chance