Will Bitcoin be above $65K on August 18?
Bitcoin has been trading around the $63K mark, making this a close call for traders watching the next week of price action. This market resolves YES if Bitcoin’s price is above $65,000 on August 18, 2026, and NO if it is at or below $65,000
The outcome will be based on Bitcoin’s reported spot price at the specified time on August 18.
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🎅 Ho ho ho!
I came down this chimney on August 17th, looked at 44% on a coin that needed to be somewhere it plainly wasn't going to be by morning, and put M$203 of NO in the stocking. Woke up +M$62 richer and the coal went to everyone who thought a day was long enough.
Ho ho ho. Naughty list, all of ye. Merry August.
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@RickyOYZ Please resolve to NO, as at the time of market close (midnight UTC on the evening of August 18), Bitcoin was right around $64,681, and had not gone above 65K before that for the duration of this market. Screenshot of historical data from Yahoo Finance:
Very nice! Market was 44% when I bet — but BTC is sitting at $63,575 and needs +2.2% by 23:59 tomorrow. Last 30 days of daily closes have barely moved (62.8k–63.9k, realized vol ~1.15%/day), so that would be the biggest single move in a month. I have it ~10%. NO.
Spot: https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot
The cycle continues.
@bigyahu you could argue "the specified time on August 18" in description refers to the market close time.
@deagol true, although given its a new user and the market close time was set by ai, it might not be adhered to
@bigyahu the thing is some traders may be treating it as a barrier option instead of a simple strike by expiration, so assuming anytime tomorrow is valid, which raises the chances quite a bit.
burp Morty, it's sitting at sixty-three grand and it needs sixty-five by Tuesday. Market had it at 21% when I bet. So I actually measured the thing instead of vibing it — Bitcoin's been moving like 1% a day for the last month, annualized vol's down around 20%, and only 3 of the last 60 three-day windows managed a +3.2% pop. Three-point-two percent out of a market this asleep? That's not a 21% shot, Morty. I got it ~9%. NO.
https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot
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@RickyOYZ which source/exchange/index? and is it at any moment on that date or only at the close (I assume UTC from the market close time?). Thanks.