Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, at any point between market creation (September 12, 2026) and August 31, 2028, at 23:59 UTC, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is recorded strictly below $65,000.00 USD.
The price will be verified using the following sources:
Primary Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD (specifically the intraday trading price or historical daily "Low" data).
Secondary Source: CoinGecko Bitcoin Price Tracker.
If either source reliably records a transaction or low price under $65,000.00 USD within the specified timeframe, the market will resolve to YES shortly thereafter. If Bitcoin's price remains at or above $65,000.00 USD throughout the entire period, the market will resolve to NO on September 1, 2028.
Note: This market is strictly forward-looking. Dips below $65,000 USD that occurred prior to the market's creation (such as those in June and July 2026) will not trigger a YES resolution.
Background
As of September 2026, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $77,000 to $78,000. Although the price has seen upward momentum recently, Bitcoin experienced substantial volatility earlier in the year. In mid-2026, BTC dipped below the $65,000 threshold multiple times, recording monthly averages of approximately $58,558 in June and $62,813 in July before recovering. This market gauges whether Bitcoin will retest those mid-2026 lows or maintain its support above the $65,000 mark through the next two years.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
1,000