Which will end first, the government shutdown or the Hamas-Israel ceasefire?
4
100Ṁ62
Jan 1
46%
Shutdown
33%
Ceasefire
7%
Same day
13%
Neither by the end of the year

Sources for verification for shutdown ending (date of shutdown ending = date government reopens):

  • Official U.S. government websites (e.g., Congress.gov, whitehouse.gov).

  • Major news outlets (AP, Reuters, NYT, etc.) confirming “government reopens.”

Guidelines on reopening if ceasefire ending:

  • Either Israel or Hamas (or another major faction in Gaza) resumes sustained offensive military operations (e.g., airstrikes, rocket fire, or ground incursions), and

  • Credible international news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, Al Jazeera, etc.) describe the ceasefire as “broken,” “ended,” or “collapsed.”

Short, isolated incidents that both parties still call “violations” do not count unless they lead to sustained fighting or an official withdrawal from the ceasefire agreement.

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