Will the Kerch Strait Rail Bridge (rail bridge from Russia to Crimea) be rendered inoperable in 2024?
49
3.3k
2025
42%
chance

Resolves to YES if at any time in 2024 the Kerch Strait Rail Bridge ends up in a state in which it cannot be used for more than 48 hours.

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bought Ṁ40 YES

what?

Once Ukraine has more reach, which it will likely get, that bridge will surely be the primary target. I'm giving this a 80%

@Jono3h possibly, might not happen in 2024

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