Will the AGI Fire Alarm alert level be raised above Sapphire Sky 3 before February 2024?
16
325
Ṁ1.3KṀ623
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if the alert level of the twitter account https://twitter.com/agifirealarm is raised above Sapphire Sky 3 before February 1st 2024
Related questions:
/SteelSphinx/will-the-agi-fire-alarm-alert-level
/RemNi/will-the-agi-fire-alarm-alert-level-ae18122806b8 (this question)
/SteelSphinx/will-the-agi-fire-alarm-alert-level-93676a9322bb
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ224 | |
2 | Ṁ79 | |
3 | Ṁ46 | |
4 | Ṁ11 | |
5 | Ṁ10 |
Sort by:
@causal_agency was thinking of using it as an external proxy for a question along the lines of "will a major AI event occur in January?", but not sure how reliable or objective that twitter account is, so kept the wording as it was in the original question
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2031?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
42% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
22% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
13% chance
Will we get AGI before September 1st 2027?
17% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
30% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
50% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?
30% chance