Will Japan control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2032? | Manifold

Will Japan control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2032?

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8

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2032

10%

chance

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1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if Japan controls the island of Sakhalin on January 1st 2032

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If North Korea took Vladivostok, would Japan take Sakhalin to prevent NK from getting it? 🤔

Seems like a stretch

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