Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026?
29
1kṀ9294
Mar 5
1.6%
chance
5

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that GitHub has imposed a stringent ban on openly available voice cloning projects submitted to its platform before January 1st 2026.

If there is weak evidence that this has occurred, but no strong evidence, or that the ban is significant but its status as a "blanket ban" is disputed, then this question resolves as N/A.

If there is no evidence that this has occurred, then this question resolves as NO.

Market context
AI
Open Source
Audio
Voice Cloning
GitHub
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https://www.reddit.com/r/StableDiffusion/comments/1ikkall/roopunleashed_faceswap_final_version/

https://venturebeat.com/ai/exclusive-camb-takes-on-elevenlabs-with-open-voice-cloning-ai-model-mars5-offering-higher-realism-support-for-140-languages/

Does this market require that GitHub originate the ban themselves? Or would you also resolve this YES if some law is passed (in a jurisdiction relevant to GitHub) prohibiting such projects and GitHub implements the ban to comply with that law?

@josh this question focuses on implementation, not legislation

bought Ṁ100 NO

We are beyond that point, the barrier for voice cloning applications is already very low

if people already do it, does that prevent github from banning it?

@Bayesian No, the market certainly is interesting! I just place the chances that github is going after a technology which is in widespread easy to access use elsewhere as low

@MariusK I think microsoft might do it purely to signal to regulators that they are "doing something" about the problem

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