Will an AI generated video reach 2.5 billion views on YouTube before 2025?
11
59
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2025
19%
chance

Resolves as YES if an AI generated video has reached 2.5 billion views on YouTube before January 1st 2025

Different number of views:

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-20-261fe41fe4dc

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-50-5580e28e7d88

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-10

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-20

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-50

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-1b

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-2

Other questions:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

At least 90% of the frames and audio in the video must be generated by an AI, but an editing process involving a human is permissible within the context of this question. The video must be at least 45 seconds long (YouTube shorts are acceptable provided they fulfil this criteria).

Intros and outros are not considered as "part of the video" unless these are also AI-generated. If a video has 5 seconds of intros and outros, then the video must be at least 50 seconds long in order to include 45 seconds of AI-generated content.

In order to fulfil the criteria of "AI generated", a neural network (or some similar class of model) must be significantly involved in the production of each frame.

The "main subject" of the video must be AI generated in order to qualify. For example, a music video with a real singer superimposed on an AI generated background would not qualify. However, an AI generated singer in a virtual scene on which real backup dancers have been superimposed would qualify.

For a frame to be considered AI generated, then the majority of the pixels must have been produced by a process that involved a neural network (or similar architecture) to a substantial degree.

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