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MANIFOLD
Will my nephew join Manifold before June 1?
2
Ṁ1kṀ55
May 31
52%
chance

I sent him an invite. We were talking about it during his sister’s graduation.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the specified individual creates a Manifold account at any point before 11:59 PM UTC on May 31, 2026. It resolves to NO if no such account is created by that time. The user may provide proof of the account creation (such as a username or profile link) to facilitate resolution. In the event of ambiguity regarding the identity of the user's nephew or the account creation status, the market will resolve based on the best available evidence provided by the creator.

Background

The creator has extended an invitation to their nephew to join the Manifold platform. This topic was discussed recently during the nephew's sister's graduation ceremony.

Market context
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What are his current main hobbies and interests?